Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.215658 0.245043 0.276537 0.312752 0.353197 0.396922 0.447720
2026-01-25 0.180207 0.220312 0.266118 0.322126 0.388567 0.464664 0.558212
2026-02-01 0.150070 0.195639 0.250651 0.321564 0.410116 0.516578 0.653747
2026-02-08 0.127081 0.175560 0.237069 0.320162 0.428708 0.564824 0.747441
2026-02-15 0.109209 0.159107 0.225345 0.318694 0.445650 0.610908 0.840645
2026-02-22 0.097819 0.149530 0.221029 0.325666 0.473134 0.671481 0.955890
2026-03-01 0.086341 0.138168 0.212644 0.325572 0.490101 0.718209 1.054748
2026-03-08 0.076900 0.128484 0.205340 0.325787 0.506744 0.764707 1.155323
2026-03-15 0.069090 0.120253 0.199124 0.326610 0.523689 0.811960 1.259036
2026-03-22 0.063345 0.114550 0.196033 0.331562 0.546650 0.868750 1.379285
2026-03-29 0.059007 0.110610 0.195202 0.339695 0.574645 0.934190 1.515553
2026-04-05 0.054256 0.105382 0.191676 0.342967 0.594854 0.988485 1.637321
2026-04-12 0.050216 0.101125 0.189635 0.348936 0.620517 1.053891 1.782015
2026-04-19 0.047148 0.098281 0.189721 0.358430 0.652534 1.131128 1.949685
2026-04-26 0.042800 0.092504 0.184042 0.357338 0.666471 1.179751 2.073799
2026-05-03 0.038846 0.087008 0.178301 0.355533 0.678831 1.226175 2.196455
2026-05-10 0.035339 0.081973 0.172895 0.353774 0.690930 1.272528 2.321047
2026-05-17 0.033296 0.079719 0.172561 0.361351 0.720110 1.349364 2.500868
2026-05-24 0.030593 0.075722 0.168401 0.361202 0.734965 1.401881 2.641163
2026-05-31 0.028196 0.072098 0.164624 0.361413 0.750343 1.455885 2.786396
2026-06-07 0.026092 0.068877 0.161354 0.362302 0.766918 1.512677 2.939022
2026-06-14 0.024577 0.066845 0.160382 0.367732 0.792506 1.586990 3.126400
2026-06-21 0.023466 0.065649 0.161092 0.376656 0.825423 1.676312 3.345001